TMBDโ€“CLF ยท Equity

Classic Fund

A systematic, factor-driven equity portfolio grounded in Fama & French's three-factor and five-factor models โ€” capturing the persistent premia of market, size, and value.

Strategy Factor / Systematic
Benchmark MSCI World
Inception Jan 2020
Est. Annual Return +9.4%
Sharpe Ratio 1.12

01 Strategy & Academic Basis

๐Ÿ“ Fama & French (1993, 2015)

The Classic Fund draws directly from Eugene Fama and Kenneth French's landmark research demonstrating that a meaningful proportion of cross-sectional equity returns can be explained by three systematic risk factors: market excess return (Mkt-RF), small capitalisation (SMB โ€” Small Minus Big), and value (HML โ€” High Minus Low book-to-market ratio). The 2015 extension adds profitability (RMW) and investment (CMA) factors.

By tilting systematically toward small-cap and value stocks while maintaining broad market exposure, the portfolio aims to harvest these academically documented risk premia over a full market cycle. Factor loadings are rebalanced quarterly to prevent drift.

02 Investment Pillars

01 Market Beta Full exposure to broad equity market excess returns โ€” the foundational risk premium.
02 Size Premium (SMB) Overweight small-cap equities which historically outperform large-cap on a risk-adjusted basis.
03 Value Premium (HML) Tilt toward high book-to-market stocks, capturing the persistent value risk premium.
04 Profitability (RMW) Bias toward robust operating profitability โ€” documented by Fama & French (2015).

03 Simulated Performance

Cumulative Return vs Benchmark

04 Asset Allocation

Equity 100%

05 Representative Holdings

Security Region Factor Tilt Weight

06 Macro Positioning & Investment Thesis

Regime as at May 2026

Factor investing is regime-sensitive, and the current regime โ€” sticky 3.8% inflation, higher-for-longer rates, and an energy shock from the Strait of Hormuz closure โ€” is unusually favourable to the premia this fund harvests. When capital is no longer free, the market stops paying a premium for distant, speculative growth and starts rewarding profitability and reasonable valuation today.

Value & Profitability The right factors for a higher-rate world

The value premium (HML) and the profitability premium (RMW) tend to do their best work precisely when the cost of capital rises. A higher discount rate compresses the present value of long-duration, cash-burning "growth" the hardest, while cash-generative, sensibly valued businesses re-rate in relative terms. The fund's systematic tilt toward these factors is therefore not just an academic exercise from Fama-French (1993, 2015) โ€” it is structurally aligned with a world where rates stay elevated and energy and wage costs keep inflation sticky.

Quality Screen Profitability as a defence

The robust-minus-weak profitability screen does double duty in this environment. It tilts toward companies that fund themselves from operating cash flow rather than capital markets โ€” exactly the businesses insulated from the rollover risk of refinancing debt at higher rates. It also naturally underweights the speculative end of the AI complex, where many companies are not yet profitable and are increasingly squeezed by rising energy costs. The fund captures AI exposure through profitable incumbents, not cash-burning hopefuls.

Discipline Systematic, not discretionary

Crucially, the strategy remains rules-based. Factor weights are rebalanced systematically rather than chased, which prevents the portfolio from drifting into whatever narrative is loudest โ€” a discipline that matters most in a headline-driven, geopolitically charged market where the temptation to abandon process is highest.