Live · Daily macro brief
Independent macro & market structure research

Markets, read
with discipline.

Institutional-grade research on macro transmission, credit spreads, commodity supply, and microstructure, written daily for serious investors. Transparent model portfolios, a systematic quant terminal, and a free education library, all from London.

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FTSE 1008,432.1+0.42% S&P 5005,287.6+0.28% UST 10Y4.24%−4.2 bp GILT 10Y4.13%−2.8 bp DXY104.86−0.18% GBP/USD1.2814+0.21% BRENT$83.42+1.18% GOLD$2,378.10+0.62% SILVER$30.84+1.92% VIX13.42−2.1% IG SPREAD92 bpflat HY SPREAD318 bp+4 bp FTSE 1008,432.1+0.42% S&P 5005,287.6+0.28% UST 10Y4.24%−4.2 bp GILT 10Y4.13%−2.8 bp DXY104.86−0.18% GBP/USD1.2814+0.21% BRENT$83.42+1.18% GOLD$2,378.10+0.62%
Coverage drawn from
BloombergTerminal RefinitivEikon FREDSt. Louis Fed BoEStatistical Database LSEGWorkspace FTEditorial Archive
01 / Research

This week's
analysis.

Three frames, one publication: macro transmission, market microstructure, and physical supply tightness. Read the latest long-form briefs and the live commentary that sits behind every model portfolio decision.

Japan macro Macro · Rates
11 Feb 2026 · 9-min read

Japan's PM Moment and Its Shadow Over US Stocks

JGB yield creep, BOJ normalisation and the overlooked transmission channel into US equity discount rates, a structural headwind most are ignoring.

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Macro positioning Risk · Sizing
09 Feb 2026 · 12-min read

Druckenmiller's Shadow: Sizing Macro Bets Under Uncertainty

How Druckenmiller sizes conviction positions, and why most macro tourists get the Kelly fraction catastrophically wrong.

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Silver market Commodities
07 Feb 2026 · 14-min read

Silver Market Outlook: COMEX Inventory Squeeze

Physical delivery pressure building on COMEX as registered inventory falls to multi-year lows, what it means for the basis and lease rates.

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Editor's note
We don't publish narratives. We publish frameworks, the kind a portfolio manager would test before sizing a position, and the kind a student should be able to defend in an interview.
, The Market Brief Daily
02 / Portfolios

Four model
portfolios.

Two diversified cores (Classic and Classic ESG), a low-cost Tracker, and an active Rotational sleeve. Tracked publicly with benchmark comparisons, monthly attribution, and full methodology, not marketing.

CLASSIC
Global multi-asset core
Diversified equities and bonds in a strategic mix, rebalanced on a rules-based schedule.
Model portfolio · benchmark MSCI World · since 2019
CLASSIC ESG
Values-aligned core
The Classic blend tilted to MSCI World ESG Leaders, with the same disciplined rebalancing.
Model portfolio · benchmark MSCI World ESG · since 2019
TRACKER
Low-cost index core
Broad global market beta with minimal turnover and the lowest possible running cost.
Model portfolio · benchmark MSCI ACWI · since 2019
ROTATIONAL
Active regime rotation
Tactically rotates across asset classes as the macro regime shifts.
Model portfolio · benchmark MSCI World · since 2023
View all portfolios Methodology
By the numbers
Coverage
04
Model portfolios: Classic, Classic ESG, Tracker, and Rotational
Education
07
Chapters covering markets, instruments, UK tax, and CFA syllabus
Archive
80+
Research briefs in the public archive, read free
Quant
1.01
v5c flagship Sharpe, backtested on SPY, 2008 to present
03 / Learn & Build

Education
and tools.

A free finance education library covering UK investing, tax wrappers, pensions, and CFA / IMC material. Plus four institutional-grade calculators, DCF, macro dashboard, CFA prep, and bond yield analytics.

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Education

Finance Education Library

Seven chapters covering financial markets, asset classes, investing principles, UK tax wrappers (ISA, SIPP, LISA), pensions, and CFA / IMC syllabus material, written in plain English.

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Free financial tools Four tools
Tools

DCF, Macro Dashboard, CFA Prep, Bond Yield

Four free institutional-grade calculators. Build a discounted cash-flow model in one screen. Track yield curves and credit spreads. Run CFA Level 1 practice questions across all 10 topic areas.

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Meet v5c, our production quantitative strategy, distilled from roughly 1,500 trials across nine model versions. A diversified, volatility-targeted, regime-gated, credit-aware allocation that has compounded through every cycle since 2008. You can now pair it with Strategy 2 (VP-MACD), a higher-tier monthly model with stronger backtested CAGR and drawdown control.

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